Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 266.479224 301.226143 339.899170 386.334272 440.838883 503.106212 580.082052
2025-03-16 209.188162 253.098641 306.308449 376.297938 467.076653 582.438250 742.744022
2025-03-23 182.178330 230.184718 291.646858 377.549516 496.864994 660.375227 908.012143
2025-03-30 159.798487 208.692556 273.999577 369.735249 510.227196 715.095000 1048.853563
2025-04-06 144.636720 194.290075 263.070568 368.190442 530.194415 780.152077 1216.048875
2025-04-13 128.030728 175.762347 243.777367 351.196653 523.354858 801.475034 1314.775542
2025-04-20 122.289399 171.970983 245.031920 364.778327 565.499304 907.616688 1583.198690
2025-04-27 117.877901 169.533787 247.781850 380.637603 613.205750 1031.094546 1914.592626
2025-05-04 110.758335 162.218324 242.072990 381.658383 635.026214 1111.180640 2179.423817
2025-05-11 102.376707 152.172537 230.980249 372.075506 636.035609 1151.267903 2367.867637
2025-05-18 95.372698 143.736110 221.707033 364.513870 639.523211 1196.459910 2579.799876
2025-05-25 92.504639 141.740818 222.905686 375.720437 680.644689 1327.130358 3039.538821
2025-06-01 87.830189 136.533321 218.399310 376.337651 701.654553 1420.675740 3442.298332
2025-06-08 82.259729 129.425393 210.014882 368.732274 704.654225 1474.374381 3755.769286
2025-06-15 78.528266 125.171704 206.293243 369.696692 726.042861 1576.103911 4251.651968
2025-06-22 73.927052 119.073745 198.720565 362.111773 727.273633 1627.945680 4610.619373
2025-06-29 70.548893 114.904739 194.360782 360.602497 742.171079 1718.542882 5141.629645
2025-07-06 65.514098 107.455998 183.316972 344.037282 719.287299 1702.613481 5281.959954
2025-07-13 64.554855 107.327140 186.150945 357.277098 770.473666 1905.774935 6365.804463
2025-07-20 63.863846 107.630167 189.819368 372.733560 829.908224 2149.799068 7777.732128
2025-07-27 61.601578 104.842607 187.163744 373.728278 852.084850 2285.411078 8794.979282
2025-08-03 58.415604 100.119766 180.296056 364.389423 845.229494 2325.785890 9374.491613
2025-08-10 55.648022 96.051496 174.497792 357.019330 842.839123 2381.272547 10076.157864